What Moves A Stock: Part VII | The Odyssey Online
Start writing a post
Politics and Activism

What Moves A Stock: Part VII

Fundamentals

17
What Moves A Stock: Part VII
Market Oracle

In this seven-part series, I have introduced five important concepts as to why stocks move. We discussed macroeconomic conditions last week, the role bonds and the Federal Reserve play on shaping equity prices, how ETFs and sector gravity can lead stocks despite individual company differences, index futures and how hasty buyers and sellers can quickly overwhelm the market, and finally a return to basic microeconomics with supply and demand analysis of stocks.

Once you have analyzed these forces in detail, then you can look at an individual company’s fundamentals to determine whether this firm is a solid one to invest in and if is the right time to purchase this stock. Fundamental analysis is highly regarded among many investors as the only way to invest. Fundamental analysis means taking time to analyze an individual company’s annual report, quarterly earnings reports, conference calls, and financial statements. After conducting fundamental analysis, you should be able to describe why you are purchasing this company’s stock and the basis for doing so.

The biggest key to fundamental analysis in this tepid growth environment is identifying companies with the ability to deliver strong growth numbers. When analyzing the growth rate of a company, pay careful attention to the revenue and earnings actual results versus what was estimated for the firm. Beats that are higher than expected will traditionally elevate a stock way higher than misses or just matching analyst consensus predictions. Pay attention to analyst opinions but do not take their word as the holy gospel. Understanding what analyst are predicting a company to do are a key indicator of which direction a stock is headed. If analysts are consistently upgrading the firm’s stock and changing its price target to a higher region, then this stock price is likely to increase over the next few months to year. Likewise, downgrades have the opposite effect on a stock’s price.

When looking at growth rates for companies, understand which firms are cyclical dependent versus secular. Cyclical companies rely mainly on economic forces to propel their prospects. Cyclical companies include General Electric, Cummins, Deere, Caterpillar, and CSX. Since many of these companies mentioned in the previous sentence are solely cyclical and conduct a lot of international business, investors in these firms will need to pay special attention to world events. Secular growth are trends in society that are likely to last for the long-term and do not rely solely on economic forces to propel them forward. With the rise of the selfie age and constant need for taking pictures, facial beauty products are an example of secular growth as more individuals seek beautification of their faces and teeth. This trend is likely to outlast any economic boom or downturn. Due to this, secular growth companies have expensive price/earnings ratios and investors pay a heftier price in purchasing shares of these firms.

Lastly, do not focus entirely on revenue. Yes, revenue is a key category of fundamental analysis and companies that do miss on revenue expectations will see their stock price fall. However, earnings are just as, if not more important than earnings in the grand scheme of things. Earnings indicate net profit, also known as the “bottom line”. When a company earnings nice profits quarterly, more money can be retained in the company for future projects or can be dished out as dividends to investors. In fact, investors expect dividends to increase annually so improving profits are important for investors.

Not only is revenues and earnings important for investors, but when listening or reading a conference call look for what company executives say about future guidance. If the future guidance indicates positive results in the future, then this stock is likely to continue its increase in value. If guidance is cut as the company future is expected to falter on weak revenues, then that stock is likely to fall in price. Outlook is very, very important and investors should pay close attention to what companies say in their conference calls after quarterly results. Always aim for companies that beat estimates and raise guidance. These stocks will consistently outperform the market.

Report this Content
This article has not been reviewed by Odyssey HQ and solely reflects the ideas and opinions of the creator.
Featured

15 Mind-Bending Riddles

Hopefully they will make you laugh.

190018
 Ilistrated image of the planet and images of questions
StableDiffusion

I've been super busy lately with school work, studying, etc. Besides the fact that I do nothing but AP chemistry and AP economics, I constantly think of stupid questions that are almost impossible to answer. So, maybe you could answer them for me, and if not then we can both wonder what the answers to these 15 questions could be.

Keep Reading...Show less
Entertainment

Most Epic Aurora Borealis Photos: October 2024

As if May wasn't enough, a truly spectacular Northern Lights show lit up the sky on Oct. 10, 2024

14784
stunning aurora borealis display over a forest of trees and lake
StableDiffusion

From sea to shining sea, the United States was uniquely positioned for an incredible Aurora Borealis display on Thursday, Oct. 10, 2024, going into Friday, Oct. 11.

It was the second time this year after an historic geomagnetic storm in May 2024. Those Northern Lights were visible in Europe and North America, just like this latest rendition.

Keep Reading...Show less
 silhouette of a woman on the beach at sunrise
StableDiffusion

Content warning: This article contains descriptions of suicide/suicidal thoughts.

When you are feeling down, please know that there are many reasons to keep living.

Keep Reading...Show less
Relationships

Power of Love Letters

I don't think I say it enough...

457766
Illistrated image of a letter with 2 red hearts
StableDiffusion

To My Loving Boyfriend,

  • Thank you for all that you do for me
  • Thank you for working through disagreements with me
  • Thank you for always supporting me
  • I appreciate you more than words can express
  • You have helped me grow and become a better person
  • I can't wait to see where life takes us next
  • I promise to cherish every moment with you
  • Thank you for being my best friend and confidante
  • I love you and everything you do

To start off, here's something I don't say nearly enough: thank you. Thank you, thank you, thank you from the bottom of my heart. You do so much for me that I can't even put into words how much I appreciate everything you do - and have done - for me over the course of our relationship so far. While every couple has their fair share of tiffs and disagreements, thank you for getting through all of them with me and making us a better couple at the other end. With any argument, we don't just throw in the towel and say we're done, but we work towards a solution that puts us in a greater place each day. Thank you for always working with me and never giving up on us.

Keep Reading...Show less
Lifestyle

11 Signs You Grew Up In Hauppauge, NY

Because no one ever really leaves.

26583
Map of Hauppauge, New York
Google

Ah, yes, good old Hauppauge. We are that town in the dead center of Long Island that barely anyone knows how to pronounce unless they're from the town itself or live in a nearby area. Hauppauge is home to people of all kinds. We always have new families joining the community but honestly, the majority of the town is filled with people who never leave (high school alumni) and elders who have raised their kids here. Around the town, there are some just some landmarks and places that only the people of Hauppauge will ever understand the importance or even the annoyance of.

Keep Reading...Show less

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Facebook Comments