We may only be three states in to the Democratic primaries, but it is becoming increasingly clear that there is now a frontrunner to be the Democratic nominee for President in 2020: Bernie Sanders.
After narrowly losing to Pete Buttigieg in Iowa, and eeking out a win in New Hampshire, he wins in a landslide in Nevada. Not only is Bernie's win in Nevada a crushing blow to many of his opponents, it makes him almost unstoppable. All of the field insists they can be the one who goes against him, but the true reality is that the only person who has seriously competed with or won against him so far is Pete Buttigieg. Even then, Buttigieg still struggles among African American voters, which is a big liability. Unfortunately though for the opposition against him, losing candidates among the likes of Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, and Tom Steyer stick it in despite disappointing results.
Although my personal views do not align personally with Bernie Sanders, nor am I going to vote for him in the primary, it is not hard to realize that he is the prohibitive favorite. His base is easily the most energized and engaged. He has a loyal following, just like President Trump. He is a decent debater. The real test for him becomes whether or not he can appeal to the broader general election electorate in November. He is very likely to face a lot of challenges appealing to much more moderate voters who cannot morally stand behind a Democratic Socialist. But that is a separate discussion that will be faced if he wins the nomination.
From here, his opponents look pretty weak. Mike Bloomberg had a horrendous debate performance, and Joe Biden is fourth in the delegate count after the Nevada results are tallied and the South Carolina race is narrowing. Pete Buttigieg earned a scarce 2 percent of African-American voters in Nevada, which is clearly an alarming sign for him. Elizabeth Warren had a strong debate performance but is going to finish below the nationwide delegate threshold in Nevada, after doing the same thing in New Hampshire.
Bernie Sanders is the most likely to win the majority of pledged delegates, per Five Thirty Eight's prediction website. All he needs to do from here on out is impress in South Carolina, and sweep much of the Super Tuesday states. Many Democrats are betting on Sanders not getting the nomination because they believe he will not reach a true majority. I would question that notion after the Nevada results.
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